I've been on conference calls with both campaigns this morning and heard them both crow about the important states they've won. Let's dispense with the obvious: California, New York, Illinois, New Jersey, Massachusetts, etc. are not budging from the blue column no matter who the Democratic nominee.
So let's go to the tale of the swing states and the swingable states (+ margin of victory):
New Hampshire +3
New Mexico +1
The reality is: They're both right.