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Manic Monday

We’re on the eve of Tsunami Tuesday.

A national poll (an outlier) puts Obama in the lead for the first time, 49%/46%.

Where the candidates are campaigning gives us a clue as to their own sense of the status of the race.

Clinton’s in Massachusetts and Connecticut: New Haven, Dorchester and Worcester.

Obama is in New Jersey (the Meadowlands), Hartford, and Boston.

We see one candidate on the offense, the other on defense.

Clinton is protecting what was supposed to have been her home turf. The fact that she’s in Massachusetts — where she formerly had a runaway lead — speaks volumes to the power of the Teddy Kennedy endorsement, if nothing else.

Obama being in New Jersey — instead of, say, California — signals that the campaign is confident of its position in other big states, and is eager to damage Clinton in her own backyard. Indeed the latest polling suggest that New Jersey is winnable for Obama, and Clinton’s New York lead is not what it could be.

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