Okay, you knew it was bad. But the latest Harris Interactive poll shows a stunning result: Only one out of five Americans believe that the U.S. is going to win in Iraq. Asked: “How confident are you that U.S. policies in Iraq will be successful?”, only 20 per cent said they were “confident.” Fully 61 per cent answered: “Not confident,” and 19 per cent were “Unsure.” Also, more than half thought that Iraq would fall apart in civil war in the next six months. (Of course, most expert Iraq watchers says that Iraq is pretty much already in a civil war, with deaths at 3,000 per month and rising.)
That explains why the president is scrambling so fast to change the topic from Iraq, where he is weak, to terrorism, where he is strong. Recent polls have shown that voters who see Iraq as the No. 1 issue are against Bush by a 4 to 1 margin, while voters who think terrorism is most important support Bush by 4 to 1. Even thick-headed consultants can grasp what those numbers mean.