Final Predictions: Stu Rothenberg - Rolling Stone
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Final Predictions: Stu Rothenberg

Rothenberg is a very sanguine handicapper, not someone who gets caught up in rooting interests. He too sees what Charlie Cook described as a”big goddamn wave.”

The Rothenberg Political Report

The Senate:

“While Senate control is in doubt, with Democrats most likely to win from 5 to 7 seats, we do not think the two sides have an equal chance of winning a majority in the Senate. Instead, we believe that state and national dynamics favor Democrats netting six seats and winning control of the United States Senate.

The House:

“Going into the final days before the 2006 midterm elections, we believe the most likely outcome in the House of Representatives is a Democratic gain of 34 to 40 seats, with slightly larger gains not impossible. This would put Democrats at between 237 and 243 seats, if not a handful more, giving them a majority in the next House that is slightly larger than the one the Republicans currently hold. If these numbers are generally correct, we would expect a period of GOP finger-pointing and self-flagellation after the elections, followed by a considerable number of Republican House retirements over the next two years.”

Wow. I don’t reckon Saddam’s death sentence is going to be enough to turn that tide.


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