Oscars 2016: Who's Going to Win, Who Should Win

Our predictions for who's going home with the gold — and who really deserves it

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Best Supporting Actress

Best Supporting Actress

  • Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight
  • Rooney Mara, Carol
  • Rachel McAdams, Spotlight
  • Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
  • Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs

Here's the problem. Rooney Mara and Alicia Vikander are not giving supporting performances. Mara has as much screen time as her Carol co-star, Blanchett, who is nominated as Best Actress. Ditto Vikander and her Danish Girl co-star, Best Actor nominee Eddie Redmayne. Mara and Vikander are both stellar (I use the word advisedly), but this category scam puts other nominees at a disadvantage.

Should Win: Leigh
As the only woman among Quentin Tarantino's despicable octet, Leigh delivers a true supporting performance, one that serves the ensemble as she rebels against macho abuse.

Will Win: Mara
She progresses from scared girl to independent woman by learning that she alone must decide who she loves. Mara won the Best Actress prize at Cannes, whose judges accurately understood the scale of her role.

Robbed: Charlize Theron (Mad Max: Fury Road) — if the Academy is going to fudge the lines between lead and supporting, why not reward Theron for her stupendous job as Furiosa?

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