Best Actress in a Drama
Claire Danes, Homeland
Viola Davis, How to Get Away with Murder
Taraji P. Henson, Empire
Tatiana Malsany, Orphan Black
Elisabeth Moss, Mad Men
Robin Wright, House of Cards
WILL WIN: Started from the bottom, now she's here: The echoes between Peggy Olson fighting her way to the top of the ad-industry heap in Mad Men and Elisabeth Moss losing five times to win on her sixth should prove irresistible to Emmy voters, despite facing one of the strongest and most varied fields in the history of the category.
SHOULD WIN: Ideally, Moss's mantel would already be covered with statuettes, and Taraji P. Henson could take home the trophy she earned with her turn as Cookie Lyon on Empire. That role could be a camptastic mess in lesser hands, but Henson's thoughtful performance as the Tyrion Lannister of the Lyon empire keeps the character human (not to mention hilarious).
ROBBED: No actor left it all on the field the way Ruth Wilson did in her absolutely harrowing role as The Affair's grief-stricken, adulterous, self-injurious female half, Alison Lockhart — though Carrie Coon's haunted turn as mother-of-the-departed Nora Durst in The Leftovers came close.