Israel. Lebanon. Iraq. Afghanistan. Iran. Syria. How Will It Play In November?

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Political Handicapper Charlie Cook raises a question that's been on my mind since the opening of a third mideast war front:

In 2002 and 2004, in the first midterm and presidential elections after the terrorist attacks of 9/11, the security issue unquestionably helped President Bush and the Republican Party. To many voters, Bush symbolized a steady and determined hand at the helm of the ship of state. And his party also benefited from having long been more trusted than the Democrats on national security.

So, will national security issues again work to the advantage of the GOP this fall, or has that well run dry for the party?

Cook has his own theory. What do you think?