No. If copyright dies, if patents die, if the protection of intellectual property is eroded, then people will stop investing. That hurts everyone. People need to have the incentive that if they invest and succeed, they can make a fair profit. Otherwise they'll stop investing. But on another level entirely, it's just wrong to steal. Or, let's put it another way: it is corrosive to one's character to steal. We want to provide a legal alternative. And we want to make it so compelling that all those people out there who really want to be honest, and really don't want to steal, but haven't had a choice if they wanted to get their music online, will now have a choice. And we think over time, most people stealing music will choose not to if a fair and resonable alternative is presented to them. We are optimists. We always have been.
Of course, a lot of college students who are grabbing
music off Kazza today don't see themselves as doing anything any
different than what you did when you were a teenager, copying
bootleg Bob Dylan tapes.
The truth is, it's really hard to talk to people about not
stealing music when there's no legal alternative. The advent of a
legal alternative is new — it's six months old. Maybe there's
been a generation of kids lost — and maybe not, who knows.
Maybe they think stealing music is like driving 70 mph on the
freeway — it's over the speed limit, but what's the big deal?
But I don't think that's the way it's going to stay — not
with future generations, at least. But who knows? This is all new
territory.
Lots people who work in the movie business have watched
what's happened to the music industry and think they're next. Do
you see that?
It is a problem. But movies are very different than music. First
of all, they're a hundred times larger. So in countries like the
U.S., where broadband is not very evolved, it takes forever to
download a high-quality version of a movie. And remember that the
bar is going to get raised on that quality in another four years,
when we have high-definition DVDs in the market. That's going to
increase the download times by another ten X. Because people's of
what they want are going to go up with that. Second, movies are not
deconstructable into songs, like an album is, that are easy to
download. Five minutes of a movie isn't very useful. You want the
whole thing. Third, there's only been one way to buy your music
— that's on a CD. Look at the ways there are to legally buy a
movie — you can see it at the theater, you can buy it on home
video, you can buy on DVD. But you can also rent it at Blockbuster
or Netflix. You can watch it on pay-per-view. You can also watch it
on cable or network TV. There are a lot of ways to legally get a
movie. There was only one way to legally get music. That's a really
big difference. The distribution is much more highly evolved in the
movie industry than it ever was in the music industry.
Now, all this doesn't mean that piracy isn't taking place in movies — because it is. And that doesn't mean that it's good — because it's not. But because of all those factors, people who just make the leap that movies are next are wrong. It may take a different path.
Apple has had a head start in the digital music
business, but obviously lots of other companies are getting into it
now too. Last week, for example, Dell come out with it iPod-clone,
the Dell DJ.
We will ship way more digital music players than Dell this
quarter. Way more. In the long run, we're going to be very
competitive. We beat Dell on operational metrics every quarter. We
are absolutely as good of a manufacturer as Dell. Our logistics are
as good as Dell's. Our online store is better than Dell's. And we
have retail channels. Most people don't want to buy one of these
things through the mail. Dell is going to have to sell that thing
retail if they are going to succeed. Their distrubution model works
against them when they get into consumer electronics. Like they're
going to be selling plasma TVs online. Would you ever buy a plasma
TV without seeing it? No way.
And then there's Microsoft. What happens to Apple when
they build an iTunes-clone into the Windows desktop?
I think Amazon does pretty well [against Microsoft]. Microsoft
hasn't really been able to compete with them — maybe not
wanted to. EBay does pretty well; Google's done pretty well.
Actually, AOL's done pretty well — contrary to a lot of the
things people say about them. So there are a lot of examples of
people offering services, Internet-based services, that have done
quite well.
And Apple's in a pretty interesting position. Because, as you may know, almost every song and CD is made on a Mac — it's recorded on a Mac; it's mixed on a Mac. The artwork's done on a Mac. Almost every artist I've met has an iPod, and most of the music execs now have iPods. And one of the reasons Apple was able to do what we did was because we are perceived by the music industry as the most creative technology company. And now we've created this music store, which I think is nontrivial to copy. I mean, to say that Microsoft can just decide to copy it, and copy it in six months — that's a big statement. It may not be so easy.
Despite the wonders of digital music services, a lot of
musicans and listeners worry it's killing the album as an art
form.
We've heard both sides of it. Most of the successful artists have
carve-outs in their contract for the distribution of music online
by their record company. And so even though we could convince,
let's say, Universal Music, the largest, to do a deal with us for
the iTunes Music Store, they were not able to offer us their top 20
artists. All music companies were like this. We had to go to the
individual artists, one by one, and convince them, too. And we did,
and they trusted us.
Now, there were a few who said: We don't want to do that — and we respect that. They said: We will let you distribute our albums as a whole, but not individual tracks. And we declined. We said: You know, our store is about giving the user that choice. And what's happened is that half the songs we've sold, approximately — about half have been as albums ... and the other half have been individually. I think there's a much higher proportion of sales of songs as albums than anyone thought. We thought it was gonna be around a quarter, but it's around a half.
But for every one of those, we've talked to, probably three or four artists who've said: You know, this is the best thing in the world. Because I don't want to have to wait 18 months to get together a dozen songs to make an album to get in front of my audience.
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- Portions of Album Content Provided by All Music Guide © 2009 All Media Guide, LLC.