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The Kinks

Why They Split: If The Everly Brothers invented sibling rivalry in rock and roll, The Kinks perfected it. Ray and Dave Davies were at each other's throats from nearly the moment The Kinks burst onto the rock scene with "You Really Got Me" in 1964. Somehow or another, they stuck together until 1996 when they split in the face of lagging record sales and declining attendance at their concerts. Much like The Ramones at the exact same time, they had been around so long that people began to take them for granted. 

Last Performance: Ray and Dave Davies (along with various former Kinks) have appeared in public at numerous award shows and functions over the past fifteen years, but they haven't performed since 1996 at Dave's 50th birthday party at the the Clissold Arms pub in London. 

Odds Of A Reunion: Ray and Dave were talking about a reunion in 2004 when Dave was sidelined by a stroke. It's unclear if he's physically capable of performing a full show these days, but both Ray and Dave have told countless interviewers that they've talked about a reunion in recent years. The death of bassist Pete Quaife in 2010 means that a reunion of the original line-up is no longer possible, but his replacement John Dalton is still active in music and would presumably be available to fill his slot. This one is going to depend largely on Dave's health. We're putting it at 50%. 

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