There may actually be a little excitement at this year's Grammys, to be held February 23rd in New York. For once, it's up for grabs.
"We have Bruce, Eminem and Norah -- everybody else is out of it," says Tom O'Neil, author of The Grammys. Using a team of music pundits and Vegas oddsmakers America's Line, O'Neil has come up with this (unofficial) Grammy forecast:
Record of the YearNorah Jones, "Don't Know Why" - 4:5
Eminem, "Without Me" - 6:5
Nelly, "Dilemma" - 12:1
Vanessa Carlton, "A Thousand Miles" - 12:1
Nickelback, "How You Remind Me" - 30:1
Analysis: "A young, serious female is a constant," says O'Neil of Jones, pointing to past winners Alicia Keys and Lauryn Hill. "They always win one top category."
Album of the YearBruce Springsteen, The Rising - 3:4
Eminem, The Eminem Show - 5:2
Norah Jones, Come Away With Me - 3:1
Dixie Chicks, Home - 20:1
Nelly, Nellyville - 30:1
Analysis: "This is for the veteran rockers," says O'Neil of Springsteen. "It is seen as a career award." See also: Santana, Eric Clapton, Tony Bennett.
Song of the YearBruce Springsteen, "The Rising" - 7:5
Norah Jones, "Don't Know Why" - 8:5
Alan Jackson, "Where Were You" - 2:1
Avril Lavigne, "Complicated" - 30:1
Vanessa Carlton, "A Thousand Miles" - 40:1
Analysis: "Are voters going to split on two 9/11 songs [Jackson and Springsteen]?" O'Neil wonders. But he feels Bruce is the "consistent" choice.
Best New ArtistNorah Jones - 1:20
John Mayer - 8:1
Avril Lavigne - 15:1
Michelle Branch - 40:1
Ashanti - 50:1
Analysis: "A runaway" is how O'Neil describes Jones' prospects. "She has the artistic talent, the sexiness and the cool factor. It's the perfect time for her."
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