Oscars 2015: Peter Travers on Who Will (and Who Should) Win

From 'Boyhood' to 'Birdman,' here's your tip sheet for the whitest Oscars in years

Best Supporting Actor

The Nominees

Robert Duvall, The Judge

Ethan Hawke, Boyhood

Edward Norton, Birdman

Mark Ruffalo, Foxcatcher

J.K. SimmonsWhiplash

Narrowing the Field

Place your bets on Simmons. All respect to Duvall, Hawke, Norton and Ruffalo, but if you think Simmons isn't a sure-as-shit shoo-in as a drum instructor from jazz hell, then you're not on my effing tempo.

Snubs

Duvall is stuck in a crap movie, so I'd trade him for Josh Brolin (Inherent Vice), or Riz Ahmed (Nightcrawler), or Tyler Perry (Gone Girl), proving he can act when not in Madea drag. Oh, wait, he's black.

Surprises

Norton is as good as it gets as an actor who can't live outside his own head, but a surprise is not gonna happen.

Should and Will Win

Simmons. Beat the drum, baby.

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