Oscars 2015: Peter Travers on Who Will (and Who Should) Win

From 'Boyhood' to 'Birdman,' here's your tip sheet for the whitest Oscars in years

Best Actress

The Nominees

Marion CotillardTwo Days, One Night

Felicity Jones, The Theory of Everything

Julianne Moore, Still Alice

Rosamund Pike, Gone Girl

Reese Witherspoon, Wild

Narrowing the Field

That's easy. Everyone but Moore can go home. It's not that her fellow nominees are coasting. I thought Pike acted the hell out of her role as Ben Affleck's wifey nemesis, but the Academy clearly wants David Fincher's Gone Girl gone. And Jones? She'll grab the gold some day, just as Cotillard and Witherspoon did before her. Not now.

Snubs

Everyone's bitching about the diss to Jennifer Aniston in Cake. Agreed. But I'm pissed about freezing out Scarlett Johansson for Under the Skin. Or what about Gugu Mbatha-Raw in Beyond the Lights? Oh, wait, she's black.

Surprises

They nominated Cotillard in a French-language film, so they must really, really like her. But that much? Nah.

Should and Will Win

Moore. Sure, she's overdue (four nominations and no wins). She's also touching and vital as a Columbia professor exhibiting signs of early-onset Alzheimer's.

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